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2024-12-13 04:35:05
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Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "


The monkeypox vaccine with independent intellectual property rights in China was approved for clinical use. On December 10th, the monkeypox vaccine jointly developed by China Bio-Beijing Institute of Biological Products and China Center for Disease Control and Prevention received the approval notice of drug clinical trial issued by National Medical Products Administration, and it was registered and classified as Class 1.2 innovative vaccine. The vaccine is an innovative vaccine independently developed by scientists in China with completely independent intellectual property rights, which is expected to play an important role in the prevention and control of diseases caused by monkeypox virus in China. (China Biology)Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)


Huaxin Securities: China Unicom's operating income grew steadily and maintained its "buy" rating. Huaxin Securities Research Report pointed out that since the beginning of this year, China Unicom (600050.SH) has seen steady growth in operating income, rapid improvement in profitability, steady expansion of user scale and continuous consolidation of network foundation, laying a more solid foundation for high-quality development of enterprises. Communication and digital intelligence services are driven by two wheels, injecting vitality into the company's performance. Looking forward to the whole year, the company will adhere to the general tone of steady progress, promote the network to be new, technology to be new and service to be new, strive to achieve the performance goal of steady growth of operating income and double-digit growth of profits throughout the year, take greater steps in high-quality development, and accelerate the construction of a world-class science and technology service enterprise with global competitiveness. With the gradual expansion of user scale and the drive of digital transformation, the company will benefit from the continuous improvement of revenue and profit and maintain the "buy" investment rating.The Polish minister said that Poland hopes that more countries will participate in Baltic policing, the EU must spend at least 100 billion euros on national defense, and the conditions for sending Polish MIG -29 fighters to Ukraine have not been met.Meili Technology: Meili, a wholly-owned subsidiary, plans to purchase assets related to MSSC AHLE GmbH for 8.1 million euros. Meili, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Meili Technology, signed an Asset Purchase Agreement with MSSC AHLE GmbH(AHLE Company) on December 10, 2024 to purchase assets related to AHLE Company's business at a transaction consideration of 8.1 million euros, including factory buildings, production equipment, inventory, intangible assets, contractual rights, etc. AHLE Company was established in 1904, and its main business is spring research and development, manufacturing, sales and trade, etc. Its main products include automobile suspension springs, brake chamber springs and recovery springs, and its customers include Volkswagen, ZF and other OEMs and first-class suppliers. Due to operational difficulties, the bankruptcy court in Cologne, Germany, initiated bankruptcy proceedings on the property of AHLE Company on October 1, 2024. Germany Meili purchased these assets by auction, and the transaction price was based on the Financial Due Diligence Report and the Legal Due Diligence Report issued by a third-party intermediary agency, taking into account the market position, channels, customers and future market opportunities of the subject matter of the transaction.

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